Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.000884 0.001006 0.001134 0.001279 0.001438 0.001607 0.001800
2025-02-23 0.000689 0.000857 0.001046 0.001273 0.001538 0.001833 0.002187
2025-03-02 0.000594 0.000784 0.001009 0.001289 0.001627 0.002018 0.002500
2025-03-09 0.000494 0.000692 0.000935 0.001250 0.001642 0.002108 0.002699
2025-03-16 0.000418 0.000617 0.000871 0.001212 0.001649 0.002182 0.002873
2025-03-23 0.000369 0.000572 0.000840 0.001210 0.001696 0.002301 0.003102
2025-03-30 0.000329 0.000535 0.000814 0.001210 0.001743 0.002420 0.003329
2025-04-06 0.000292 0.000496 0.000783 0.001200 0.001773 0.002515 0.003527
2025-04-13 0.000257 0.000457 0.000748 0.001180 0.001787 0.002587 0.003695
2025-04-20 0.000240 0.000443 0.000747 0.001208 0.001866 0.002745 0.003976
2025-04-27 0.000222 0.000427 0.000740 0.001226 0.001930 0.002884 0.004236
2025-05-04 0.000198 0.000398 0.000713 0.001211 0.001948 0.002959 0.004410
2025-05-11 0.000174 0.000367 0.000679 0.001186 0.001949 0.003012 0.004557
2025-05-18 0.000161 0.000353 0.000672 0.001199 0.002006 0.003144 0.004814
2025-05-25 0.000148 0.000338 0.000663 0.001209 0.002058 0.003269 0.005063
2025-06-01 0.000128 0.000309 0.000626 0.001173 0.002038 0.003290 0.005167
2025-06-08 0.000111 0.000281 0.000590 0.001137 0.002016 0.003307 0.005263
2025-06-15 0.000101 0.000267 0.000577 0.001135 0.002046 0.003399 0.005468
2025-06-22 0.000092 0.000254 0.000565 0.001136 0.002080 0.003496 0.005681
2025-06-29 0.000083 0.000239 0.000548 0.001126 0.002096 0.003568 0.005859
2025-07-06 0.000073 0.000223 0.000526 0.001107 0.002096 0.003614 0.005998
2025-07-13 0.000070 0.000220 0.000531 0.001133 0.002170 0.003774 0.006308
2025-07-20 0.000066 0.000214 0.000530 0.001150 0.002230 0.003913 0.006588